Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.270169 3.645892 4.052942 4.527614 5.067089 5.662460 6.371069
2025-02-16 2.705606 3.207669 3.791220 4.523171 5.421683 6.494981 7.883562
2025-02-23 2.362336 2.931700 3.629305 4.554336 5.759774 7.292500 9.413150
2025-03-02 2.054488 2.641943 3.392042 4.431511 5.852681 7.754021 10.534970
2025-03-09 1.844198 2.444266 3.237962 4.380516 6.009452 8.288879 11.792803
2025-03-16 1.672848 2.276021 3.098708 4.323303 6.135353 8.775263 13.020728
2025-03-23 1.598263 2.230558 3.119182 4.486178 6.584962 9.768530 15.127999
2025-03-30 1.485876 2.119121 3.032159 4.477123 6.767889 10.367854 16.679255
2025-04-06 1.380915 2.008361 2.934291 4.438110 6.893549 10.881077 18.142783
2025-04-13 1.241026 1.833762 2.725133 4.203807 6.677496 10.805452 18.565633
2025-04-20 1.174081 1.765175 2.672655 4.213612 6.861829 11.417367 20.293503
2025-04-27 1.131690 1.731143 2.670719 4.304149 7.188963 12.307944 22.656885
2025-05-04 1.084173 1.686943 2.651237 4.367259 7.481761 13.183773 25.152093
2025-05-11 1.037278 1.640344 2.624125 4.414525 7.750811 14.047514 27.760251
2025-05-18 0.993414 1.595355 2.595737 4.455897 8.011404 14.923040 30.528596
2025-05-25 0.926344 1.506497 2.485481 4.338373 7.955352 15.161825 31.934853
2025-06-01 0.876433 1.443636 2.415711 4.289076 8.025871 15.662733 34.007883
2025-06-08 0.829680 1.383213 2.345889 4.233327 8.076787 16.126119 36.063517
2025-06-15 0.818162 1.384112 2.386104 4.392335 8.582693 17.627904 40.904171
2025-06-22 0.783620 1.341376 2.343182 4.383501 8.734126 18.361163 43.930258
2025-06-29 0.747667 1.293865 2.288106 4.345423 8.818093 18.949132 46.676282
2025-07-06 0.689791 1.202730 2.145103 4.116696 8.461251 18.464381 46.426301
2025-07-13 0.665541 1.173040 2.117879 4.126269 8.639171 19.279893 49.958191